Somalia: Foolishness or Bad Character?

 Somalia is a country among those devastated by multi-faceted conflicts that seem to have transcended human solutions.

When you look at the society generally, it is one susceptible to political interference coming from those they consider allies, but who are united by strategic interests.

Apart from the neighboring countries that do not hide their influence and interference in internal affairs, there are countries whose ambitions are not directly visible, and others that Somalis can see, but circumstances compel them to look the other way.

The interests that countries like Egypt, the UAE and Turkey have in Somalia are evident.

The USA, the EU, and the Scandinavian countries are united by the interest of already being allies and members of NATO, they determined to make sure that Somalia not sign a cooperation agreements with China and Russia.

Egypt does not possess the economic power or political influence to change the situation in Somalia. This is because Somalis are not united but are divided into regions partitioned by clans. Since Cairo lacks the economic power to pursue its interests, it seeks instead to intertwine itself with the Arab League and the anxiety Somalis have regarding Ethiopia's ambition for their sea. Ethiopia is a country with which Somalia has had fierce wars in the past. Neither of them achieved victory, and that deep-rooted hostility has precluded them from cooperating in a good-neighborly manner.

However, the current Ethiopian leaders repeatedly make statements that suggest Ethiopia believes it can exploit the military and political weakness in Mogadishu.

The Egyptians view Somalia as a country they can use to their advantage in the perennial dispute over the Nile waters with the Ethiopians. This makes Somalia a place where the Egyptians can apply pressure on the Addis Ababa administration.

Turkey's ambition is long-term. It relates to its Strategic Policy in Africa. They see Mogadishu as the gateway through which Turkey can enter Africa. It is a policy related to Turkey's expansion. Somalis are not apprehensive about engaging with Turkey, as they see Turkey as respecting a long-standing religious friendship.

The UAE has an economic power and its interest is limited to the principle of "divide the Somalis and rule." While perhaps acting as a proxy for other hidden powers, the UAE has seen its interest in gaining control of Somalia's long coastline. The primary objective is to obstruct Somalia's development of economic potential in the Indian Ocean and the Gulf of Aden. The main interest is to protect the Red Sea from Somali ports. This is to ensure that the ports of Yemen, Sudan, Eritrea, and even Eritrea do not become an obstacle to the Jebel Ali port in the Emirates. Coupled with this, the Emirates aspire to take control of Somalia's vast agricultural land. This is the second agenda item that they do not openly mention, but which they discuss with Somali politicians at various levels.

The Western countries' true motivation for interfering in Somalia is a long-term strategic one. Somalia's geographical location and its untapped natural resources give it special importance. These are complex games related to the geopolitics of the Horn of Africa and the struggle of the great powers. The West is closely watching Turkey's movements inside Somalia. They are also present in Somalia to prevent Somali politicians from dealing or forming alliances with China and Russia.

All these matters require a master class political calculation that Somali people do not see from their elected leaders.

Now, is it foolishness on the part of Somali politicians that they become servants to countries pursuing their own special interests?

Or is the matter not foolishness, but the bad political character and lack of political vision, which compels them to sell the responsibility they hold to the Somali people for small amounts of money?

DOODA MUQDISHO: ARIN U BAAHAN KALA CADAYN

 Dooda Caasimada Muqdisho iyo yaa leh waa hadalo ma dhaleeys ah oo badanaa lala soo boodo kolka ay xaraarada doorashada kacdo.

Muqdisho waxaa leh ummadda Soomaaliyeed, waayo Caasimadu waa shumaca isirka Soomaaliyeed, fad ama ha fadine.

Balse, xasuuso goortii ugu dambeeysay ee doodahan lala YIMAADO saaxada dadweeynaha iyo MW Farmaajo jawaabtii uu ka bixiyey iyo halkii ay martay. 13 kii senator meeday?

Bulshada reer Banaadir iyo Soomaalida kale waa in aysan dhalanteed run moodin.

Meeqaamka Muqdisho waxa uu u garba duuban yahay sida Dowlad-dhiska Soomaaliyeed uu nidaamka Federaalka  ugu afduuban tahay!

Bulshada Soomaaliyeed ee himmiladoodu tahay Jamhuuriyad  Federaal ah waa in marka hore Isla meeldhigto nidaamka iyo qaabka Federaal ee dalku yeelanayo.

Waa halkaas mushkilada mudan in xal laga gaaro. Qaabab la raaco oo shaqeeyey ayaa Jira. 

Dunida waxaa ka Jira 25 ilaa 27 dal oo Federaal ah.

Doorka Caasimadaha dalalkaasi waxaa  (in ay yihiin xubin ka mid ah Dowlada federaal ama in ay yihiin Degmo ay maamusho Dowlada Dhexe), lagu xaliyey qaabka Federaal ee dalalkaasi qaateen. Yacni waa in heshiis bulsho laga gaaro.

Tusaale, Dalka USA waxaa Caasumad u ah Degmada Washington DC doorkeedana waa In ay tahay Degmo Dowlada Dhexe hoostimaada.

Halka Dalka Jarmalka oo caasimadiisu tahay Berlin ay Berlin tahay Dowald-Goboleed la mid tahay 15ka Gobol ee kale ee dalka.

Si kale haddaan u dhigo:Dalalka USA, India, Nigeria, Mexico, Australia

caasimadahooda Dowlada Dhexe ayaa si toos u maamusho.

Waxaa jira dalal kale oo si la mid ah Jarmalka Caasimada siiyey doorka Maamul-Hoboleed oo laga xusi Karo Beljiga iyo Austriya.

Dhanka kale, waxaa jira dalal  Federaal ah oo doorka Caasimadahooda ka dhigay Degmo ku dhextaal Dowlad-Goboleed, sida Iswiserland iyo Kanada.

Waxa mudan in la xaliyo waa xaqiiqda degaan ee bulshada Muqdisho. Marka waa in ceelkeeydu (siyaasiyiinta) ka heshiiyaan nooca Federaal ee dalku  qaadanayo iyo meeqaamka Caasimada Muqdisho yeelaneeyso.

Halse waa qasab in la fahmo:

 Dadka degaanka Muqdisho waa in aan dood ma dhaleeys ah lagu daalin. Waa in ay si la mid ah sida  degaanada kale ee dalka ay usoo doortaan golahooda degaanka iyo Duqa Magaalada Muqdisho si toos ah.

Su'aasha ah Xamar yaa leh, jawaabtu waa Soomaali baa leh.

THE STATUS OF MOGADISHU: A CALL FOR CLARITY

The debate over the ownership and administration of Mogadishu as the capital city is essentially a distraction—a rhetorical tool often deployed when electoral tensions are high.

Mogadishu is the property of the entire Somali nation. It is the essential symbol of Somali identity, regardless of political sentiments.

However, we must recall the last time this specific debate was brought into the public sphere, former President Farmaajo's response to it, and its ultimate resolution. What became of the proposed 13 senators? 

The people of Banadir and all other Somalis should not be fooled into mistaking these political fantasies for reality.

Mogadishu’s current status is paralyzed because the entire project of Somali state-building is essentially being held hostage by the current Federal system framework and the never-ending Provisional Constitution.

Therefore, the Somali public, whose ambition is to establish a functioning Federal Republic, must first come to a clear agreement on the specific structure and form of Federalism the country will adopt. This is the core problem that demands a solution. There are models that can be adopted without wasting time and resources for how to solve the Mogadishu issue.

There are between 25 and 27 Federal nations globally.

The role of their capital cities—whether the capital is treated as a component of the Federal government or a District managed by the central authority—was resolved through prior public consensus on the chosen model of Federalism.

For instance, the USA's capital is the District of Columbia (Washington, DC), which is managed directly by the Central Government.

Conversely, Germany's capital, Berlin, holds the status of a full Federal State (a Länder), equal to the other 15 states in the country.

To summarize the key models:

 * Central Government Control: Countries like the USA, India, Nigeria, Mexico, and Australia see their capitals managed directly by the national government.

 * Regional State Status: Countries like Germany, Belgium, and Austria treat their capital as an equal, independent Regional State.

 * District within a State: Countries like Switzerland and Canada place the capital as a district located within a larger Federal State.

What is crucial to resolve is the democratic right and local reality of the people living in Mogadishu. This means that our political leaders (ceelleeydu) must agree on both the type of Federalism the nation will adopt and the political status Mogadishu will ultimately hold.

But one principle must be clearly understood:

The local residents of Mogadishu must not be exhausted by futile political arguments. They must be given the right to directly elect their own local council and the Mayor of Mogadishu, just like the residents in all other regions of the country.

The final answer to the question, 'Who owns Xamar (Mogadishu)?' is simple: 'All Somalis own it.

Clan Dynamics, Injustice, and Somalia's State Failure

Injustice has been an instrumental driving force behind the dysfunctional system of governing in Somalia for a significant period, and yet nothing is changing the mindset of the political class.

This reinforces the correlation between Somali clan dynamics—including relations within sub-clans—and national stability. When powerful clans systematically suppress the less powerful ones, the ultimate outcome is a severe loss of national cohesion and the collapse of the state.

The mechanism of suppression extends far beyond mere political competition. It involves the abuse of power by influential clans that control access to state resources, political appointments, and the justice system. Consequently, the benefits of the state flow disproportionately to dominant clans and their affiliated groups. This leaves the remaining groups in a marginalized and vulnerable position, making them susceptible to further manipulation and deepening their political disenfranchisement.